Friday, December 22, 2023

592. Dutch civil war

 I have a tenacious nightmare that after the victory in the recent Dutch elections for parliament of the extreme rightist party PVV, we are in an uncertain period that might develop in a civil war. The PVV has items in its programme that go against the constitution and the legal system. It wants to discontinue help to Ukraine, exit from the EU, stop environmental spending, stop the entry of refugees, suppress Islamic citizenship and schooling, and outlaw the Koran. With this, it is difficult to engineer a cabinet, and the attempt might fail. The PVV will be acceptable in a government only if it recants a number of its tenets. It claims that it will not try to implement its contentious tenets, but cannot afford to do so, since those are ‘in its DNA, as it proclaims itself. If negotiation does yield a compromise, to yield a government, that is likely to fall soon due to the opposition defending the constitution. That will necessitate new elections, and there will be a uproar, fuelled by the PVV, claiming that a democratic vote has been frustrated, yielding a yet higher vote for the PVV.

 

The upheaval will call forth violent protests and attacks, and civil war is evoked. The majority of the population will call for a dictatorship by the leader of the PVV, and the rest will resort to a violent response. Politicians will be assassinated.

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