490.
Conspiracy theories
We
are plagued by conspiracy theories, such as the one that the earth is flat.
Such theories have always been around, in political intriges, but now they are
more pervasive and have more adherents. Why? I have heard the following
argument: formerly, only political, scientific and intellectual elites had
access to much information, and to airing their views in publications, but now
virtually all information is accessible to all, on the Internet, and anyone can
propound his views on social media. One no longer needs to be a specialist to
vent a view. That is no doubt part of the reason, but there is something more
fundamental.
Science
tries to falsify its theories, while conspiracy theorists try to confirm it,
and there is so much information, that one can find evidence for the most
absurd views. I once heard someone claim that there are military bases of a foreign
civilization on the moon. His ‘proof ‘was a photo with rectangular shapes on
the moon. I told him that if there are many random shapes, there is bound to
also be a rectangular one
True,
it is not individual scientists that falsify theories, they are too vain for that
and want to corroborate their theories for their reputations and careers, but it
is the community of scientists that falsify each other’s theories. Openness to
criticism is essential for science, while conspiracy theorists close themselves
off for it, and pay attention only to those who agree, in ‘filter bubbles’ on
the Internet.
I
admit that truth is problematic. In science also, observation is ‘theory
laden’: it is interpretation from a theoretical perspective. But that has been
exaggerated. It occurs only occasionally, and most of the time rival theories
are subject to the same ‘facts’. One must be open to those.It is not true that
every opinion is as good as any other. I adopt the defnition of truth of the
pragmatist philosopher John Dewey as ‘warranted assertibility’: you must come
up with arguments such as facts when not problematic, logic, plausibility, i.e
consistency with other well supported theories, and whether something ‘works’ in
application. Conspiracy theories fail to do that.
Conspiracy
theories are also presented as absolute, incontrovertible, and final, while a
scientist grants that his theory is likely to be contradicted in future.
Science is never final and is subject to improvement or replacement. That has
regularly occurred, in the history of science.Tue, perhaps,. scientists have
not always made that clear, and neglected to contradict the widespread belief
that a scientific theorry is the final truth, and has been proven so. When
people finally caught on that this is not so, this degraded the opinion of
science, and they equated opinion with fact.
The
drive behind this is that people seek certainty and security.and abhor
relativism, variablity and instability. There was religion for that certainty,
and then, to some extent, science. There is no chance. Shit does not just
happen. There must be a cause, reason, or better, yet, a design by some hidden
evil: Jesuits, Illuminati, Jews, top capitalists. There, one can also celebrate
one’s jealousy and fear
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